Predicting the swine-flu spread
Interesting article in the NY Times on two different computer models and how they predict the spread of swine flu. I particularly like this point:
But one thing remains true: “People have a very weird perception of large numbers,” he said. “If you have 2,000 cases of flu in a country of 300 million, most people think they’re going to be one of the 2,000, not one of the 299,998,000.”
