Later On

A blog written for those whose interests more or less match mine.

Archive for August 3rd, 2012

Jared Diamond (Guns, Germs, and Steel) responds to Romney

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Jared Diamond’s (quite intriguing) book, Guns, Germs, and Steel, about the resources and influences that shaped various civilizations, was referenced by Romney on why Palestinians have not thrived as Israel has. I missed Diamond’s response in the NY Times a couple of days ago, but it’s well worth reading:

MITT ROMNEY’S latest controversial remark, about the role of culture in explaining why some countries are rich and powerful while others are poor and weak, has attracted much comment. I was especially interested in his remark because he misrepresented my views and, in contrasting them with another scholar’s arguments, oversimplified the issue.

It is not true that my book “Guns, Germs and Steel,” as Mr. Romney described it in a speech in Jerusalem, “basically says the physical characteristics of the land account for the differences in the success of the people that live there. There is iron ore on the land and so forth.”

That is so different from what my book actually says that I have to doubt whether Mr. Romney read it. My focus was mostly on biological features, like plant and animal species, and among physical characteristics, the ones I mentioned were continents’ sizes and shapes and relative isolation. I said nothing about iron ore, which is so widespread that its distribution has had little effect on the different successes of different peoples. (As I learned this week, Mr. Romney also mischaracterized my book in his memoir, “No Apology: Believe in America.”)

That’s not the worst part. Even scholars who emphasize social rather than geographic explanations — like the Harvard economist David S. Landes, whose book “The Wealth and Poverty of Nations” was mentioned favorably by Mr. Romney — would find Mr. Romney’s statement that “culture makes all the difference” dangerously out of date. In fact, Mr. Landes analyzed multiple factors (including climate) in explaining why the industrial revolution first occurred in Europe and not elsewhere.

Just as a happy marriage depends on many different factors, so do national wealth and power. That is not to deny culture’s significance. Some countries have political institutions and cultural practices — honest government, rule of law, opportunities to accumulate money — that reward hard work. Others don’t. Familiar examples are the contrasts between neighboring countries sharing similar environments but with very different institutions. (Think of South Korea versus North Korea, or Haiti versus the Dominican Republic.) Rich, powerful countries tend to have good institutions that reward hard work. But institutions and culture aren’t the whole answer, because some countries notorious for bad institutions (like Italy and Argentina) are rich, while some virtuous countries (like Tanzania and Bhutan) are poor.

A different set of factors involves geography, which embraces many more aspects than the physical characteristics Mr. Romney dismissed. One such geographic factor is latitude, which has big effects on wealth and power today: tropical countries tend to be poorer than temperate-zone countries. Reasons include the debilitating effects of tropical diseases on life span and work, and the average lower productivity of agriculture and soils in the tropics than in the temperate zones.

A second factor is access to the sea. Countries without a seacoast or big navigable rivers tend to be poor, because transport costs overland or by air are much higher than transport costs by sea.

A third geographic factor is . . .

Continue reading. Diamond’s conclusion is striking:

. . . What does this mean for Americans? Can we assume that the United States, blessed with temperate location and seacoasts and navigable rivers, will remain rich forever, while tropical or landlocked countries are doomed to eternal poverty?

Of course not. Some tropical and subtropical countries have become richer despite geographic limitations. They’ve invested in public health to overcome their disease burdens (Botswana and the Philippines). They’ve invested in crops adapted to the tropics (Brazil and Malaysia). They’ve focused their economies on sectors other than agriculture (Singapore and Taiwan).

Conversely, geographic advantages don’t guarantee permanent success, as the growing difficulties in Europe and America show. We Americans fail to provide superior education and economic incentives to much of our population. India, China and other countries that have not been world leaders are investing heavily in education, technology and infrastructure. They’re offering economic opportunities to more and more of their citizens. That’s part of the reason jobs are moving overseas. Our geography won’t keep us rich and powerful if we can’t get a good education, can’t afford health care and can’t count on our hard work’s being rewarded by good jobs and rising incomes.

Mitt Romney may become our next president. Will he continue to espouse one-factor explanations for multicausal problems, and fail to understand history and the modern world? If so, he will preside over a declining nation squandering its advantages of location and history.

Written by Leisureguy

3 August 2012 at 4:24 pm

Little blogging: Packing books

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I’m packing up the library, and it takes a while. But little by little the job gets done.

Written by Leisureguy

3 August 2012 at 1:38 pm

Posted in Books, Daily life

Computer scare from the Mac

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I had left my little external hard drive—My Passport—backing up last night, and this morning the computer was off and would not awaken. When I turned it on, I got the warning that I should not have removed the drive without ejecting it. However, I had not removed the drive at all: it was still attached. I did eject it at that point, though, and decided that a reboot was in order.

I closed all the programs, from an abundance of caution, turned the computer off, and when I turned it on again and logged in, I get the spinning colored disk, non-stop. Spin, spin, spin, and nothing more. I left it going for ten minutes or so, then felt the terrible feeling one has in such situations.

Fortunately, I still have my Windows computer, so I booted that up and did a search on the problem and found that it seems to happen fairly often with Macs, and the remedy suggested—power down, power up and before the gray screen appears, press and hold down Command-Option-P-R through bootup. That resets some internal reference RAM, and it worked, thank God.

It now feels like the more one depends on computers, the more fragile things seem. This one is working again, but for how long?

Written by Leisureguy

3 August 2012 at 8:34 am

Posted in Technology

Lavender morning

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Lavender is the theme of the day. The Morris & Forndran Blonde Badger worked up a fine lather from TOBS Lavender shaving soap. When I make lather I start with the brush soaking wet—no squeezing out of water—and lather with the tub on the side over the sink. Sometimes some water spills into the sink, sometimes—as today—the action just starts the brush loading at once. I quickly had a brush fully loaded with soap and indeed had to add a little water as I worked the lather into my beard.

Three passes with the Gillette Rocket, holding a previously used Swedish Gillette blade, and a smooth result, splashed with Lavanda to start the day.

Written by Leisureguy

3 August 2012 at 8:27 am

Posted in Shaving

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