Later On

A blog written for those whose interests more or less match mine.

Not exactly a surprise: States That Imposed Few Restrictions Now Have the Worst Outbreaks

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Update: The Eldest raised an interesting point. Vitamin D has been found to help, and it shows in looking at the graph below. Look at the states that have not done much to contain Covid-19 and compare the southern states with the northern states — the southern states are doing much better, perhaps because of more exposure to sunlight and thus more vitamin D. I’m upping my intake of vitamin D. /update

Anyone who did not expect this should do some introspection on their decision-making process. Lauren Leatherby and Rich Harris report in the NY Times:

Coronavirus cases are rising in almost every U.S. state. But the surge is worst now in places where leaders neglected to keep up forceful virus containment efforts or failed to implement basic measures like mask mandates in the first place, according to a New York Times analysis of data from the University of Oxford.

Using an index that tracks policy responses to the pandemic, these charts show the number of new virus cases and hospitalizations in each state relative to the state’s recent containment measures.

Outbreaks are comparatively smaller in states where efforts to contain the virus were stronger over the summer and fall — potential good news for leaders taking action now. States and cities are reinstating restrictions and implementing new ones: In recent days, the governors of IowaNorth Dakota and Utah imposed mask mandates for the first time since the outbreak began.

The index comes from Oxford’s Blavatnik School of Government, where researchers track the policies — or lack thereof — governments use to contain the virus and protect residents, such as contact tracing, mask mandates and restrictions on businesses and gatherings. Researchers aggregate those indicators and assign a number from 0 to 100 to each government’s total response.

At its highest level of containment efforts, New York state scored an 80 on the index. At the beginning of November, most states were scoring in the 40s and 50s. Though many have taken fresh steps to contain the virus since then, the Times analysis compares cases and hospitalizations for a given date to a state’s index score from two weeks before, since researchers say it is reasonable to expect a lag between a policy’s implementation and its outcome.

Most states imposed tight restrictions in the spring even if they did not have bad outbreaks then. After reopening early, some Sun Belt states, including Arizona and Texas, imposed restrictions again after case counts climbed. Now, Midwestern states have among the worst outbreaks. Many have also done the least to contain the virus.

When cases first peaked in the United States in the spring, . . .

Continue reading.

Written by Leisureguy

19 November 2020 at 10:40 am

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